Limits to management adaptation for the Indus’ irrigated agriculture

Future irrigated agriculture will be strongly affected by climate change and agricultural management. However, the extent that management adaptation can counterbalance negative climate-change impacts achieve sustainable production remains poorly quantified. Such quantification is especially important for Indus basin, as essential its food security highly increasing temperatures changing water availability. Our study quantified these effects several mitigation scenarios management-adaptation strategies using state-of-the-art VIC-WOFOST hydrology–crop model. results show 2030s, through improved nutrient availability constrained irrigation sufficient to increased production. 2080s productivity depend on worldwide efforts. Especially under limited mitigation, insufficient compensate severe losses due heat stress. clearly indicates limits in only further or strong secure Indus’ productivity.